Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics
Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics
少于1000 人选课
更新日期:2025/01/10
开课时间2020/12/09 - 2021/12/01
课程周期51 周
开课状态已结课
每周学时-
课程简介

If you want to make scientific decisions based on a big amount of stochastic data processing, you need to master some important tools for quantitative analysis of random phenomena. Probability theory and mathematical statistics is a mathematical discipline, focused on studing the statistical law of random phenomena, which has been widely applied to economic, society, management, finance, biology, environment, transportation  and other fields. Therefore, probability theory and mathematical statistics is not only an important basic common course in college, but also a practical and highly applied subject for whose is major in statistics and mathematics. In the mathematical modeling contest for college students such as MCM/ICM, statistics is also the basic  contest to support data analysis. 


课程大纲

Lecture 1: Random Events and Probability

Curriculum Development Overview and Three Elements of Probability

Total Probability Formula

Independence and Application of Events

Classical Probability

Bayesian Formula

Geometric Probability

Conditional Probability and Multiplication Formula

Lecture 2 One-Dimensional Random Variables and Their Distribution

Uniform Distribution and Exponential Distribution

The Distribution of A Class of Discrete Random Variables

Poisson Distribution and Poisson Theorem

Distribution of Continuous Random Variable Functions

Random Variables and Their Distribution

Normal Distribution

Lecture 3: Multidimensional Random Variables and Their Distribution

Multidimensional Random Variables and Distribution (1)

Distribution of Maximum and Minimum Values of Random Variables

The Marginal distribution law and the marginal density function

Multidimensional Random Variables and Distribution (2)

Distribution of Summation of Random Variables

Conditional Distribution and Independence of Random Variables

Find Distribution with Combination Method of Function and Image

Lecture 4: Numerical Characteristics of Random Variables

Application of Mathematical Expectation and Variance

Standardization and Correlation Coefficient

The Linear Property and Application of Mathematical Expectation

The Property of Variance and Covariance

Definition of Mathematical Expectation and Variance

Lecture 5: Limit Theorem

Central Limit Theorem

Law of Large Numbers

Lecture 6: Basic Concepts of Mathematical Statistics

Distribution of Sample Mean Statistics

Distribution of Sample Variance Statistics

Basic Concepts of Mathematical Statistics

Lecture 7: Parameter Estimation

What Is Parameter Estimation

Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Continuous Distribution

Likelihood Principle and Likelihood Function

Confidence Interval Estimation

Maximum Likelihood Estimation for A General Discrete Distribution

Moment Estimation

Lecture 8: Hypothesis Testing

Test for the Variance of Normal Population

The Basic Principle of Hypothesis Testing

Chi-Square Test of Goodness Fitting

Test for the Mean of Normal Population

Two Types of Errors

Lecture 9: Regression Analysis

Unary Linear Regression: Correlation Coefficient Test

Unary Linear Regression: Least Squares Estimation